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2025-26 Season Live

Buffalo Sabres at Montreal Canadiens Win Probability Chart (May 16, 2026)

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Buffalo Sabres at Montreal Canadiens

May 16, 2026
Montreal Canadiens pregame win prob 43.5%

Win Probability Timeline

Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
0%25%50%75%100%P1 EndP2 EndP3 End Home Win Probability Game Time
Lead changes 41
Biggest swing 68.4 pp
Home time led 20.3%
Away time led 79.7%

Key Moments

Goals, period starts, and game end.
#PeriodTimeEventScoreHome Win Prob
350113:56goal3-240.9%
308110:14goal3-161.9%
152108:12goal2-165.1%
81101:40goal1-155.5%
56100:32goal0-136.7%
52100:00period-start0-053.6%
649212:59goal3-58.3%
619210:54goal3-415.1%
447201:00goal3-331.3%
442200:00period-start3-269.3%
544320:00game-end3-80.9%
1045317:49goal3-80.8%
159314:12goal3-70.8%
931309:58goal3-61.4%
761300:00period-start3-511.9%