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2025-26 Season Live

Buffalo Sabres at Montreal Canadiens Win Probability Chart (May 16, 2026)

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Buffalo Sabres at Montreal Canadiens

May 16, 2026
Montreal Canadiens pregame win prob 54.2%

Win Probability Timeline

Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
0%25%50%75%100%P1 EndP2 EndP3 End Home Win Probability Game Time
Lead changes 39
Biggest swing 69.8 pp
Home time led 19.4%
Away time led 80.6%

Key Moments

Goals, period starts, and game end.
#PeriodTimeEventScoreHome Win Prob
350113:56goal3-223.8%
308110:14goal3-161.5%
152108:12goal2-166.4%
81101:40goal1-157.1%
56100:32goal0-137.4%
52100:00period-start0-055.5%
649212:59goal3-58.4%
619210:54goal3-413.5%
447201:00goal3-333.6%
442200:00period-start3-270.5%
544320:00game-end3-81.0%
1045317:49goal3-80.7%
159314:12goal3-70.9%
931309:58goal3-61.1%
761300:00period-start3-59.8%