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2026-27 Season Live

New York Islanders at Toronto Maple Leafs Win Probability Chart (Sep 30, 2026)

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New York Islanders at Toronto Maple Leafs

Sep 30, 2026
Toronto Maple Leafs pregame win prob 61.3%

Win Probability Timeline

Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
0%25%50%75%100%P1 EndP2 EndP3 End Home Win Probability Game Time
Lead changes 0
Biggest swing 35.3 pp
Home time led 100.0%
Away time led 0.0%
The Flood (2-straight)TOR

Key Moments

Goals, period starts, and game end.
#PeriodTimeEventScoreHome Win Prob
351111:55goal2-096.5%
160107:14goal1-087.8%
54100:00period-start0-061.1%
449200:00period-start2-096.5%
606320:00game-end2-194.4%
997314:09goal2-192.4%
807300:00period-start2-096.4%