Washington Capitals at Tampa Bay Lightning Win Probability Chart (Oct 03, 2026)
In-Game Dashboard
Washington Capitals at Tampa Bay Lightning
Tampa Bay Lightning pregame win prob
57.5%
Win Probability Timeline
Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
Lead changes
2
Biggest swing
32.2 pp
Home time led
96.3%
Away time led
3.7%
The Flood (2-straight)TBL
Key Moments
Goals, period starts, and game end.| # | Period | Time | Event | Score | Home Win Prob |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 326 | 1 | 16:30 | goal | 2-0 | 89.8% |
| 81 | 1 | 02:26 | goal | 1-0 | 57.5% |
| 52 | 1 | 00:00 | period-start | 0-0 | 39.5% |
| 522 | 2 | 07:04 | goal | 2-1 | 60.8% |
| 386 | 2 | 00:00 | period-start | 2-0 | 89.8% |
| 465 | 3 | 20:00 | game-end | 3-1 | 97.4% |
| 1151 | 3 | 17:55 | goal | 3-1 | 100.0% |
| 803 | 3 | 00:00 | period-start | 2-1 | 71.7% |