Buffalo Sabres at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2024-10-05 • O2 Czech Republic

New Jersey Devils 3 - 1 Buffalo Sabres

Win Probability

NJD: 60.5%

BUF: 39.5%

Expected Goals

NJD: 3.61

BUF: 2.18

Total Goals

Median: 5.6

Over 5.5: 51%

Over 6.5: 39%

NJD

Jake Allen - 11-8-1 | 0.912 SV% | 2.52 GAA

BUF

D. Levi

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NJD	Jake Allen	18	17	1	94.4%	2.23	2	1.23
BUF	D. Levi	37	34	3	91.9%	4.93	7	1.93

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • NJD at home vs BUF: 5-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-25	NJD 1 - 2 BUF	BUF	NJD
2025-12-21	NJD 1 - 3 BUF	BUF	NJD
2025-11-28	BUF 0 - 5 NJD	NJD	NJD
2025-02-02	BUF 4 - 3 NJD	BUF	NJD
2024-10-05	NJD 3 - 1 BUF	NJD	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	15	2	1.16
1	BUF	13	0	0.37
2	NJD	19	0	1.48
2	BUF	13	1	0.96
3	NJD	17	5	2.29
3	BUF	16	1	0.90

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 60.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

New Jersey Devils 3 - 1 Buffalo Sabres

Expected: 3.6 - 2.2