Buffalo Sabres at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions
2024-10-05 • O2 Czech Republic
New Jersey Devils 3 - 1 Buffalo Sabres
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NJD: 50.8%
BUF: 49.2%
Expected Goals
NJD: 2.96
BUF: 1.13
Total Goals
Median: 4.0
Over 5.5: 28%
Over 6.5: 16%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NJD
Jacob Markstrom - 15-13-1 | 0.882 SV% | 3.20 GAA
BUF
Alex Lyon - 14-8-3 | 0.913 SV% | 2.72 GAA
| Stat | NJD | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.884 | 0.906 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.899 | 0.934 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.783 |
| GAA | 3.32 | 2.82 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • NJD at home vs BUF: 3-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-25 | NJD 1 - 2 BUF | BUF | NJD |
| 2025-12-21 | NJD 1 - 3 BUF | BUF | NJD |
| 2025-11-28 | BUF 0 - 5 NJD | NJD | BUF |
| 2025-02-02 | BUF 4 - 3 NJD | BUF | BUF |
| 2024-10-05 | NJD 3 - 1 BUF | NJD | NJD |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 08:18 | BUF | Goal |
| 2 | 11:59 | NJD | Goal |
| 3 | 07:18 | NJD | Goal |
| 3 | 14:14 | NJD | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 50.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 4.0
Expected: 4.1
Score Breakdown
New Jersey Devils 3 - 1 Buffalo Sabres
Expected: 3.0 - 1.1