Boston Bruins at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions
2024-10-08 • Amerant Bank Arena
Florida Panthers 6 - 4 Boston Bruins
🚨 Upset Win (55% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
FLA: 45.4%
BOS: 54.6%
Expected Goals
FLA: 2.59
BOS: 2.93
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 58%
Over 6.5: 43%
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 53% • FLA at home vs BOS: 4-5
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-02 | FLA 2 - 1 BOS | FLA | FLA |
| 2026-02-04 | FLA 5 - 4 BOS | FLA | FLA |
| 2025-10-21 | BOS 3 - 4 FLA | FLA | FLA |
| 2025-03-11 | BOS 3 - 2 FLA | BOS | BOS |
| 2025-01-11 | FLA 3 - 4 BOS | BOS | FLA |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FLA | 21 | 1 | 1.58 |
| 1 | BOS | 15 | 1 | 1.36 |
| 2 | FLA | 15 | 0 | 1.09 |
| 2 | BOS | 11 | 2 | 0.86 |
| 3 | FLA | 18 | 2 | 1.97 |
| 3 | BOS | 18 | 0 | 1.30 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 54.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 10.0
Expected: 5.5
Score Breakdown
Florida Panthers 6 - 4 Boston Bruins
Expected: 2.6 - 2.9
Like this analysis? Get it daily.
Short, data-driven emails. Unsubscribe any time.