Calgary Flames at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2024-10-09 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 5 - 6 Calgary Flames

Win Probability

VAN: 38.8%

CGY: 61.2%

Expected Goals

VAN: 2.28

CGY: 3.20

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 82% • VAN at home vs CGY: 4-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-28	CGY 7 - 3 VAN	CGY	CGY
2025-11-23	VAN 2 - 5 CGY	CGY	CGY
2025-10-09	VAN 5 - 1 CGY	VAN	VAN
2025-03-12	CGY 3 - 4 VAN	VAN	CGY
2024-12-31	CGY 3 - 1 VAN	CGY	CGY

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	19	3	1.81
1	CGY	8	2	0.99
2	VAN	4	0	0.11
2	CGY	17	0	0.92
3	VAN	13	0	0.57
3	CGY	15	0	0.41
4	VAN	0	0	0.00
4	CGY	3	1	0.51

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 61.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 11.0

Expected: 5.5

Score Breakdown

Vancouver Canucks 5 - 6 Calgary Flames

Expected: 2.3 - 3.2