Colorado Avalanche at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions

2024-10-09 • T-Mobile Arena

Vegas Golden Knights 8 - 4 Colorado Avalanche

🚨 Upset Win (61% underdog)

Win Probability

VGK: 39.4%

COL: 60.6%

Expected Goals

VGK: 3.85

COL: 3.52

Total Goals

Median: 8.4

Over 5.5: 83%

Over 6.5: 72%

VGK

Akira Schmid - 16-10-6 | 0.893 SV% | 2.59 GAA

COL

Scott Wedgewood - 30-6-6 | 0.920 SV% | 2.07 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • VGK at home vs COL: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-11	COL 2 - 3 VGK	VGK	COL
2025-12-27	VGK 5 - 6 COL	COL	VGK
2025-10-31	VGK 2 - 4 COL	COL	COL
2025-04-08	COL 3 - 2 VGK	COL	COL
2024-11-27	COL 2 - 1 VGK	COL	COL

Period	Time	Team	Scorer
1	10:48	COL	Goal
1	11:15	VGK	Goal
1	18:32	VGK	Goal
1	18:57	VGK	Goal
2	04:15	VGK	Goal
2	05:49	VGK	Goal
2	17:32	VGK	Goal
2	19:46	VGK	Goal
3	06:59	VGK	Goal
3	08:29	VGK	Goal
3	13:54	VGK	Goal
3	19:24	VGK	Goal

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 60.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 12.0

Expected: 7.4

Score Breakdown

Vegas Golden Knights 8 - 4 Colorado Avalanche

Expected: 3.9 - 3.5