Los Angeles Kings at Buffalo Sabres NHL Predictions

2024-10-10 • KeyBank Center

Buffalo Sabres 1 - 3 Los Angeles Kings

🚨 Upset Loss (60% underdog)

Win Probability

BUF: 59.9%

LAK: 40.1%

Expected Goals

BUF: 3.07

LAK: 3.17

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 53%

Over 6.5: 40%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 17% • BUF at home vs LAK: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-21	LAK 1 - 4 BUF	BUF	LAK
2026-01-29	BUF 4 - 1 LAK	BUF	LAK
2024-11-20	LAK 0 - 1 BUF	BUF	LAK
2024-10-10	BUF 1 - 3 LAK	LAK	BUF
2024-02-13	BUF 7 - 0 LAK	BUF	BUF

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BUF	16	1	1.28
1	LAK	7	0	0.45
2	BUF	21	2	2.01
2	LAK	8	0	0.40
3	BUF	17	0	0.97
3	LAK	17	2	2.23

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 59.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Buffalo Sabres 1 - 3 Los Angeles Kings

Expected: 3.1 - 3.2