Los Angeles Kings at Buffalo Sabres NHL Predictions

2024-10-10 • KeyBank Center

Buffalo Sabres 1 - 3 Los Angeles Kings

Win Probability

BUF: 40.7%

LAK: 59.3%

Expected Goals

BUF: 2.50

LAK: 3.01

Total Goals

Median: 5.7

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 38%

BUF

Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen - 7-5-1 | 0.903 SV% | 2.46 GAA

LAK

Darcy Kuemper - 10-7-6 | 0.913 SV% | 2.27 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
BUF	Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen	23	20	3	87.0%	3.07	2	0.07
LAK	Darcy Kuemper	33	32	1	97.0%	4.26	3	3.26

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • BUF at home vs LAK: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-21	LAK 1 - 4 BUF	BUF	LAK
2026-01-29	BUF 4 - 1 LAK	BUF	BUF
2024-11-20	LAK 0 - 1 BUF	BUF	LAK
2024-10-10	BUF 1 - 3 LAK	LAK	LAK
2024-02-13	BUF 7 - 0 LAK	BUF	BUF

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BUF	16	1	1.28
1	LAK	7	0	0.45
2	BUF	21	2	2.01
2	LAK	8	0	0.40
3	BUF	17	0	0.97
3	LAK	17	2	2.23

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 59.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 5.5

Score Breakdown

Buffalo Sabres 1 - 3 Los Angeles Kings

Expected: 2.5 - 3.0