Toronto Maple Leafs at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions
2024-10-10 • Prudential Center
New Jersey Devils 2 - 4 Toronto Maple Leafs
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NJD: 50.0%
TOR: 50.0%
Expected Goals
NJD: 2.60
TOR: 3.48
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 54%
Over 6.5: 38%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NJD
Jacob Markstrom - 15-13-1 | 0.882 SV% | 3.20 GAA
TOR
Joseph Woll - 13-7-4 | 0.908 SV% | 2.92 GAA
| Stat | NJD | TOR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.884 | 0.914 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.899 | 0.910 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.897 | 1.000 |
| GAA | 3.32 | 2.74 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 38% • NJD at home vs TOR: 0-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-30 | TOR 4 - 0 NJD | TOR | TOR |
| 2025-10-21 | TOR 2 - 5 NJD | NJD | TOR |
| 2025-01-16 | TOR 4 - 3 NJD | TOR | TOR |
| 2024-12-10 | NJD 1 - 2 TOR | TOR | NJD |
| 2024-10-10 | NJD 2 - 4 TOR | TOR | TOR |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19:18 | TOR | Goal |
| 1 | 14:46 | TOR | Goal |
| 1 | 11:29 | TOR | Goal |
| 1 | 08:18 | TOR | Goal |
| 2 | 19:54 | TOR | Goal |
| 2 | 14:52 | TOR | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 50.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
New Jersey Devils 2 - 4 Toronto Maple Leafs
Expected: 2.6 - 3.5