Dallas Stars at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions

2024-10-10 • Bridgestone Arena

Nashville Predators 3 - 4 Dallas Stars

Win Probability

NSH: 42.9%

DAL: 57.1%

Expected Goals

NSH: 2.34

DAL: 4.17

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 48%

NSH

S. Wedgewood

DAL

Jake Oettinger - 16-7-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.57 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NSH	S. Wedgewood	20	16	4	80.0%	1.93	1	-2.07
DAL	Jake Oettinger	36	33	3	91.7%	4.26	2	1.26

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • NSH at home vs DAL: 4-7

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-10-03	NSH 2 - 1 DAL	NSH	NSH
2026-02-28	DAL 3 - 2 NSH	DAL	NSH
2025-11-08	NSH 4 - 5 DAL	DAL	DAL
2025-10-26	NSH 2 - 3 DAL	DAL	DAL
2025-04-16	NSH 5 - 1 DAL	NSH	NSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NSH	15	0	0.73
1	DAL	9	0	0.55
2	NSH	19	0	1.29
2	DAL	8	0	0.57
3	NSH	23	2	2.23
3	DAL	12	1	0.81

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 57.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Nashville Predators 3 - 4 Dallas Stars

Expected: 2.3 - 4.2