St. Louis Blues at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions
2024-10-11 • T-Mobile Arena
Vegas Golden Knights 4 - 3 St. Louis Blues
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
VGK: 67.3%
STL: 32.7%
Expected Goals
VGK: 3.52
STL: 2.59
Total Goals
Median: 6.2
Over 5.5: 55%
Over 6.5: 40%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
VGK
Akira Schmid - 16-10-6 | 0.893 SV% | 2.59 GAA
STL
Joel Hofer - 23-13-5 | 0.910 SV% | 2.60 GAA
| Stat | VGK | STL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.895 | 0.901 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.879 | 0.917 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.929 | 0.881 |
| GAA | 2.50 | 2.87 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • VGK at home vs STL: 2-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-10 | VGK 4 - 2 STL | VGK | VGK |
| 2026-01-02 | STL 4 - 3 VGK | STL | VGK |
| 2025-11-15 | STL 1 - 4 VGK | VGK | VGK |
| 2025-01-23 | STL 2 - 4 VGK | VGK | VGK |
| 2025-01-20 | VGK 4 - 5 STL | STL | VGK |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 06:47 | STL | Goal |
| 1 | 08:02 | VGK | Goal |
| 1 | 18:13 | VGK | Goal |
| 2 | 02:55 | VGK | Goal |
| 2 | 07:29 | VGK | Goal |
| 3 | 12:53 | VGK | Goal |
| 3 | 15:04 | VGK | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 67.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
Vegas Golden Knights 4 - 3 St. Louis Blues
Expected: 3.5 - 2.6
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