St. Louis Blues at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions
2024-10-11 • T-Mobile Arena
Vegas Golden Knights 4 - 3 St. Louis Blues
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
VGK: 50.8%
STL: 49.2%
Expected Goals
VGK: 4.24
STL: 2.78
Total Goals
Median: 6.9
Over 5.5: 69%
Over 6.5: 54%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
VGK
Akira Schmid - 16-6-6 | 0.895 SV% | 2.53 GAA
STL
Jordan Binnington - 8-17-6 | 0.864 SV% | 3.65 GAA
| Stat | VGK | STL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.895 | 0.869 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.891 | 0.826 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.929 | 0.875 |
| GAA | 2.50 | 3.56 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • VGK at home vs STL: 2-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-10 | VGK 4 - 2 STL | VGK | VGK |
| 2026-01-02 | STL 4 - 3 VGK | STL | STL |
| 2025-11-15 | STL 1 - 4 VGK | VGK | STL |
| 2025-01-23 | STL 2 - 4 VGK | VGK | STL |
| 2025-01-20 | VGK 4 - 5 STL | STL | VGK |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 06:47 | STL | Goal |
| 1 | 08:02 | VGK | Goal |
| 1 | 18:13 | VGK | Goal |
| 2 | 02:55 | VGK | Goal |
| 2 | 07:29 | VGK | Goal |
| 3 | 12:53 | VGK | Goal |
| 3 | 15:04 | VGK | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 50.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 7.0
Score Breakdown
Vegas Golden Knights 4 - 3 St. Louis Blues
Expected: 4.2 - 2.8