Florida Panthers at Buffalo Sabres NHL Predictions

2024-10-12 • KeyBank Center

Buffalo Sabres 5 - 2 Florida Panthers

Win Probability

BUF: 51.7%

FLA: 48.3%

Expected Goals

BUF: 3.36

FLA: 3.30

Total Goals

Median: 5.5

Over 5.5: 50%

Over 6.5: 35%

BUF

D. Levi

FLA

Spencer Knight - 0-0-0 | 0.000 SV% | 0.00 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
BUF	D. Levi	25	23	2	92.0%	1.44	0	-0.56
FLA	Spencer Knight	27	22	5	81.5%	3.62	3	-1.38

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • BUF at home vs FLA: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-27	FLA 2 - 3 BUF	BUF	FLA
2026-02-02	FLA 3 - 5 BUF	BUF	BUF
2026-01-12	BUF 3 - 4 FLA	FLA	FLA
2025-10-18	BUF 3 - 0 FLA	BUF	FLA
2025-04-12	FLA 3 - 2 BUF	FLA	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BUF	16	1	1.36
1	FLA	12	0	0.62
2	BUF	22	0	1.05
2	FLA	11	0	0.63
3	BUF	12	2	1.22
3	FLA	6	0	0.20

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown

Buffalo Sabres 5 - 2 Florida Panthers

Expected: 3.4 - 3.3