Florida Panthers at Buffalo Sabres NHL Predictions

2024-10-12 • KeyBank Center

Buffalo Sabres 5 - 2 Florida Panthers

🚨 Upset Win (52% underdog)

Win Probability

BUF: 47.9%

FLA: 52.1%

Expected Goals

BUF: 3.03

FLA: 2.65

Total Goals

Median: 5.4

Over 5.5: 49%

Over 6.5: 36%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • BUF at home vs FLA: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-27	FLA 2 - 3 BUF	BUF	BUF
2026-02-02	FLA 3 - 5 BUF	BUF	BUF
2026-01-12	BUF 3 - 4 FLA	FLA	FLA
2025-10-18	BUF 3 - 0 FLA	BUF	FLA
2025-04-12	FLA 3 - 2 BUF	FLA	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BUF	16	1	1.36
1	FLA	12	0	0.62
2	BUF	22	0	1.05
2	FLA	11	0	0.63
3	BUF	12	2	1.22
3	FLA	6	0	0.20

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 52.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 5.7

Score Breakdown

Buffalo Sabres 5 - 2 Florida Panthers

Expected: 3.0 - 2.6