Nashville Predators at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions
2024-10-12 • Little Caesars Arena
Detroit Red Wings 3 - 0 Nashville Predators
🚨 Upset Win (71% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
DET: 28.9%
NSH: 71.1%
Expected Goals
DET: 2.27
NSH: 2.28
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 54%
Over 6.5: 36%
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 17% • DET at home vs NSH: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-02 | NSH 2 - 4 DET | DET | NSH |
| 2025-11-26 | DET 3 - 6 NSH | NSH | DET |
| 2024-10-19 | NSH 2 - 5 DET | DET | NSH |
| 2024-10-12 | DET 3 - 0 NSH | DET | NSH |
| 2024-03-23 | NSH 1 - 0 DET | NSH | NSH |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DET | 11 | 1 | 1.24 |
| 1 | NSH | 19 | 1 | 1.55 |
| 2 | DET | 14 | 0 | 0.94 |
| 2 | NSH | 17 | 2 | 1.75 |
| 3 | DET | 8 | 3 | 1.76 |
| 3 | NSH | 19 | 2 | 1.45 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 71.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 4.5
Score Breakdown
Detroit Red Wings 3 - 0 Nashville Predators
Expected: 2.3 - 2.3
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