Nashville Predators at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions
2024-10-12 • Little Caesars Arena
Detroit Red Wings 3 - 0 Nashville Predators
🚨 Upset Win (52% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
DET: 47.8%
NSH: 52.2%
Expected Goals
DET: 2.67
NSH: 1.67
Total Goals
Median: 3.3
Over 5.5: 22%
Over 6.5: 14%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
DET
John Gibson - 29-22-4 | 0.901 SV% | 2.72 GAA
NSH
Juuse Saros - 28-21-8 | 0.894 SV% | 3.13 GAA
| Stat | DET | NSH |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.893 | 0.897 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.862 | 0.884 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.909 | 0.900 |
| GAA | 2.97 | 2.93 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • DET at home vs NSH: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-02 | NSH 2 - 4 DET | DET | NSH |
| 2025-11-26 | DET 3 - 6 NSH | NSH | DET |
| 2024-10-19 | NSH 2 - 5 DET | DET | NSH |
| 2024-10-12 | DET 3 - 0 NSH | DET | NSH |
| 2024-03-23 | NSH 1 - 0 DET | NSH | NSH |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 01:02 | DET | Goal |
| 3 | 06:35 | DET | Goal |
| 3 | 19:40 | DET | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 52.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 4.3
Score Breakdown
Detroit Red Wings 3 - 0 Nashville Predators
Expected: 2.7 - 1.7
Like this analysis? Get it daily.
Short, data-driven emails. Unsubscribe any time.