New York Islanders at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions

2024-10-12 • American Airlines Center

Dallas Stars 3 - 0 New York Islanders

Win Probability

DAL: 80.1%

NYI: 19.9%

Expected Goals

DAL: 3.92

NYI: 1.27

Total Goals

Median: 5.7

Over 5.5: 52%

Over 6.5: 36%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • DAL at home vs NYI: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-26	NYI 2 - 1 DAL	NYI	DAL
2025-11-18	DAL 2 - 3 NYI	NYI	NYI
2025-02-23	NYI 3 - 4 DAL	DAL	NYI
2024-10-12	DAL 3 - 0 NYI	DAL	DAL
2024-02-26	DAL 2 - 3 NYI	NYI	DAL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DAL	8	0	0.73
1	NYI	16	0	0.82
2	DAL	15	0	1.10
2	NYI	16	1	1.13
3	DAL	11	1	1.03
3	NYI	20	0	1.27

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 80.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 5.2

Score Breakdown

Dallas Stars 3 - 0 New York Islanders

Expected: 3.9 - 1.3