Columbus Blue Jackets at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions

2024-10-12 • Ball Arena

Colorado Avalanche 4 - 6 Columbus Blue Jackets

🚨 Upset Loss (64% underdog)

Win Probability

COL: 63.8%

CBJ: 36.2%

Expected Goals

COL: 3.61

CBJ: 3.68

Total Goals

Median: 5.3

Over 5.5: 47%

Over 6.5: 36%

COL

Alexandar Georgiev - 38-18-5 | 0.897 SV% | 3.02 GAA

CBJ

Daniil Tarasov - 8-11-3 | 0.908 SV% | 3.18 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
COL	Alexandar Georgiev	23	17	6	73.9%	2.80	2	-3.20
CBJ	Daniil Tarasov	30	26	4	86.7%	3.77	2	-0.23

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • COL at home vs CBJ: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-10	COL 4 - 0 CBJ	COL	COL
2025-10-16	CBJ 1 - 4 COL	COL	COL
2025-04-03	CBJ 3 - 7 COL	COL	COL
2024-10-12	COL 4 - 6 CBJ	CBJ	COL
2024-04-01	CBJ 4 - 1 COL	CBJ	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	COL	12	0	0.71
1	CBJ	12	1	0.88
2	COL	19	1	1.63
2	CBJ	11	0	0.78
3	COL	18	1	1.43
3	CBJ	10	1	1.14

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 63.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 10.0

Expected: 7.3

Score Breakdown

Colorado Avalanche 4 - 6 Columbus Blue Jackets

Expected: 3.6 - 3.7