Anaheim Ducks at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions

2024-10-12 • SAP Center at San Jose

San Jose Sharks 0 - 2 Anaheim Ducks

Win Probability

SJS: 28.2%

ANA: 71.8%

Expected Goals

SJS: 1.75

ANA: 3.01

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 68%

Over 6.5: 53%

SJS

Vitek Vanecek - 17-9-3 | 0.890 SV% | 3.18 GAA

ANA

Lukas Dostal - 13-9-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.15 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SJS	Vitek Vanecek	30	28	2	93.3%	3.90	4	1.90
ANA	Lukas Dostal	30	30	0	100.0%	3.24	3	3.24

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 82% • SJS at home vs ANA: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-09	ANA 6 - 1 SJS	ANA	ANA
2026-04-01	SJS 4 - 3 ANA	SJS	SJS
2025-12-29	ANA 4 - 5 SJS	SJS	ANA
2025-10-11	SJS 6 - 7 ANA	ANA	ANA
2025-04-01	ANA 4 - 3 SJS	ANA	ANA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SJS	12	1	0.67
1	ANA	13	1	0.93
2	SJS	16	1	1.16
2	ANA	16	0	0.71
3	SJS	18	1	1.40
3	ANA	12	3	2.26

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 71.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 2.0

Expected: 4.8

Score Breakdown

San Jose Sharks 0 - 2 Anaheim Ducks

Expected: 1.7 - 3.0