Minnesota Wild at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2024-10-13 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 2 - 1 Minnesota Wild

Win Probability

WPG: 77.9%

MIN: 22.1%

Expected Goals

WPG: 3.43

MIN: 2.53

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 45%

WPG

Connor Hellebuyck - 9-10-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.51 GAA

MIN

Filip Gustavsson - 13-8-4 | 0.912 SV% | 2.47 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
WPG	Connor Hellebuyck	27	26	1	96.3%	2.03	0	1.03
MIN	Filip Gustavsson	35	33	2	94.3%	2.20	0	0.20

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 45% • WPG at home vs MIN: 4-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-15	MIN 2 - 6 WPG	WPG	MIN
2025-12-27	WPG 3 - 4 MIN	MIN	WPG
2025-11-23	WPG 0 - 3 MIN	MIN	WPG
2025-10-28	MIN 3 - 4 WPG	WPG	MIN
2024-12-21	WPG 5 - 0 MIN	WPG	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	xG
1	WPG	15	0.81
1	MIN	10	0.23
2	WPG	19	0.52
2	MIN	16	0.96
3	WPG	18	0.75
3	MIN	13	0.77
4	WPG	1	0.11
4	MIN	1	0.07

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 77.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Winnipeg Jets 2 - 1 Minnesota Wild

Expected: 3.4 - 2.5