Utah Hockey Club at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2024-10-14 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 3 - 0 Utah Hockey Club

Win Probability

NJD: 59.8%

UTA: 40.2%

Expected Goals

NJD: 3.01

UTA: 2.66

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 65%

Over 6.5: 50%

NJD

Jake Allen - 11-8-1 | 0.912 SV% | 2.52 GAA

UTA

Karel Vejmelka - 17-10-2 | 0.895 SV% | 2.68 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NJD	Jake Allen	20	20	0	100.0%	2.25	2	2.25
UTA	Karel Vejmelka	32	29	3	90.6%	4.11	5	1.11

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • NJD at home vs UTA: 2-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-03	NJD 4 - 1 UTA	NJD	NJD
2025-12-19	UTA 1 - 2 NJD	NJD	UTA
2025-03-01	UTA 1 - 3 NJD	NJD	UTA
2024-10-14	NJD 3 - 0 UTA	NJD	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	10	1	0.85
1	UTA	10	0	0.73
2	NJD	17	3	2.05
2	UTA	7	1	0.59
3	NJD	14	1	1.22
3	UTA	14	1	0.93

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 59.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 5.7

Score Breakdown

New Jersey Devils 3 - 0 Utah Hockey Club

Expected: 3.0 - 2.7