New Jersey Devils at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2024-10-15 • Lenovo Center

Carolina Hurricanes 4 - 2 New Jersey Devils

Win Probability

CAR: 83.6%

NJD: 16.4%

Expected Goals

CAR: 3.71

NJD: 2.34

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 43%

CAR

Pyotr Kochetkov - 6-2-0 | 0.899 SV% | 2.33 GAA

NJD

Jacob Markstrom - 9-9-1 | 0.884 SV% | 3.32 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CAR	Pyotr Kochetkov	26	24	2	92.3%	2.51	1	0.51
NJD	Jacob Markstrom	31	27	4	87.1%	4.08	3	0.08

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 88% • CAR at home vs NJD: 9-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-28	CAR 5 - 2 NJD	CAR	CAR
2026-01-17	NJD 1 - 4 CAR	CAR	CAR
2026-01-04	NJD 1 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-10-09	CAR 6 - 3 NJD	CAR	CAR
2025-04-29	CAR 5 - 4 NJD	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	18	1	1.50
1	NJD	12	0	0.30
2	CAR	17	0	0.86
2	NJD	14	0	1.11
3	CAR	13	2	1.72
3	NJD	15	1	1.10

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 83.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 4 - 2 New Jersey Devils

Expected: 3.7 - 2.3