San Jose Sharks at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions

2024-10-15 • American Airlines Center

Dallas Stars 3 - 2 San Jose Sharks

Win Probability

DAL: 62.0%

SJS: 38.0%

Expected Goals

DAL: 3.59

SJS: 2.96

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 89% • DAL at home vs SJS: 4-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-10	SJS 5 - 4 DAL	SJS	DAL
2025-12-18	SJS 3 - 5 DAL	DAL	DAL
2025-12-05	DAL 4 - 1 SJS	DAL	DAL
2025-02-08	SJS 3 - 8 DAL	DAL	DAL
2024-11-20	DAL 5 - 2 SJS	DAL	DAL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DAL	22	1	1.26
1	SJS	10	0	0.61
2	DAL	24	2	2.22
2	SJS	12	1	1.09
3	DAL	15	0	0.80
3	SJS	14	1	1.16
4	DAL	1	0	0.06
4	SJS	2	0	0.27
5	DAL	3	3	2.21
5	SJS	2	1	0.96

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 62.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Dallas Stars 3 - 2 San Jose Sharks

Expected: 3.6 - 3.0