Philadelphia Flyers at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions
2024-10-15 • Rogers Place
Edmonton Oilers 4 - 3 Philadelphia Flyers
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
EDM: 50.9%
PHI: 49.1%
Expected Goals
EDM: 3.57
PHI: 3.43
Total Goals
Median: 6.8
Over 5.5: 65%
Over 6.5: 53%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
EDM
Tristan Jarry - 15-7-2 | 0.890 SV% | 3.18 GAA
PHI
Dan Vladar - 17-9-6 | 0.905 SV% | 2.46 GAA
| Stat | EDM | PHI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.906 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.841 | 0.918 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.966 | 0.929 |
| GAA | 2.73 | 2.40 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • EDM at home vs PHI: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-03 | EDM 2 - 5 PHI | PHI | EDM |
| 2025-11-12 | PHI 1 - 2 EDM | EDM | PHI |
| 2025-02-22 | PHI 6 - 3 EDM | PHI | EDM |
| 2024-10-15 | EDM 4 - 3 PHI | EDM | EDM |
| 2024-01-02 | EDM 5 - 2 PHI | EDM | EDM |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 09:21 | PHI | Goal |
| 1 | 04:46 | PHI | Goal |
| 2 | 19:37 | PHI | Goal |
| 2 | 14:01 | EDM | Goal |
| 2 | 06:26 | PHI | Goal |
| 3 | 16:18 | EDM | Goal |
| 4 | 00:56 | EDM | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 50.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 7.0
Score Breakdown
Edmonton Oilers 4 - 3 Philadelphia Flyers
Expected: 3.6 - 3.4