Philadelphia Flyers at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2024-10-15 • Rogers Place

Edmonton Oilers 4 - 3 Philadelphia Flyers

Win Probability

EDM: 69.1%

PHI: 30.9%

Expected Goals

EDM: 3.49

PHI: 2.93

Total Goals

Median: 5.6

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 41%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • EDM at home vs PHI: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-03	EDM 2 - 5 PHI	PHI	EDM
2025-11-12	PHI 1 - 2 EDM	EDM	EDM
2025-02-22	PHI 6 - 3 EDM	PHI	PHI
2024-10-15	EDM 4 - 3 PHI	EDM	EDM
2024-01-02	EDM 5 - 2 PHI	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	EDM	10	0	0.58
1	PHI	16	0	0.89
2	EDM	17	1	1.83
2	PHI	16	0	1.39
3	EDM	15	0	0.83
3	PHI	11	0	0.69
4	EDM	2	2	0.55
4	PHI	0	0	0.00

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 69.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Edmonton Oilers 4 - 3 Philadelphia Flyers

Expected: 3.5 - 2.9