Los Angeles Kings at Montreal Canadiens NHL Predictions
2024-10-17 • Centre Bell
Montreal Canadiens 1 - 4 Los Angeles Kings
🚨 Upset Loss (51% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
MTL: 51.2%
LAK: 48.8%
Expected Goals
MTL: 3.25
LAK: 3.50
Total Goals
Median: 6.7
Over 5.5: 67%
Over 6.5: 51%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
MTL
Jakub Dobes - 18-5-4 | 0.892 SV% | 2.96 GAA
LAK
Darcy Kuemper - 14-11-9 | 0.900 SV% | 2.59 GAA
| Stat | MTL | LAK |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.889 | 0.913 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.903 | 0.866 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.955 |
| GAA | 3.01 | 2.27 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 40% • MTL at home vs LAK: 0-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-11 | MTL 1 - 5 LAK | LAK | MTL |
| 2025-02-05 | LAK 6 - 3 MTL | LAK | LAK |
| 2024-10-17 | MTL 1 - 4 LAK | LAK | MTL |
| 2023-12-07 | MTL 0 - 4 LAK | LAK | MTL |
| 2023-11-25 | LAK 4 - 0 MTL | LAK | LAK |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 07:02 | MTL | Goal |
| 1 | 18:20 | MTL | Goal |
| 2 | 01:37 | LAK | Goal |
| 3 | 17:02 | LAK | Goal |
| 3 | 19:12 | LAK | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 51.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.7
Score Breakdown
Montreal Canadiens 1 - 4 Los Angeles Kings
Expected: 3.2 - 3.5