New Jersey Devils at Ottawa Senators NHL Predictions
2024-10-17 • Canadian Tire Centre
Ottawa Senators 1 - 3 New Jersey Devils
🚨 Upset Loss (51% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
OTT: 50.8%
NJD: 49.2%
Expected Goals
OTT: 2.86
NJD: 3.25
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 59%
Over 6.5: 41%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
OTT
Linus Ullmark - 16-8-5 | 0.884 SV% | 2.86 GAA
NJD
Jacob Markstrom - 15-13-1 | 0.882 SV% | 3.20 GAA
| Stat | OTT | NJD |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.881 | 0.884 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.882 | 0.899 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.915 | 0.921 |
| GAA | 2.95 | 3.32 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 12% • OTT at home vs NJD: 1-4
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-31 | OTT 4 - 1 NJD | OTT | OTT |
| 2025-12-09 | OTT 3 - 4 NJD | NJD | OTT |
| 2025-03-22 | NJD 2 - 3 OTT | OTT | NJD |
| 2025-01-19 | NJD 1 - 2 OTT | OTT | NJD |
| 2024-10-17 | OTT 1 - 3 NJD | NJD | OTT |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 02:39 | NJD | Goal |
| 2 | 06:26 | NJD | Goal |
| 3 | 12:39 | NJD | Goal |
| 3 | 18:55 | NJD | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 50.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 4.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
Ottawa Senators 1 - 3 New Jersey Devils
Expected: 2.9 - 3.3