New York Rangers at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions
2024-10-17 • Little Caesars Arena
Detroit Red Wings 2 - 5 New York Rangers
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
DET: 49.6%
NYR: 50.4%
Expected Goals
DET: 2.76
NYR: 3.65
Total Goals
Median: 6.4
Over 5.5: 66%
Over 6.5: 49%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
DET
John Gibson - 22-12-2 | 0.904 SV% | 2.62 GAA
NYR
Igor Shesterkin - 17-12-4 | 0.913 SV% | 2.45 GAA
| Stat | DET | NYR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.893 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.887 | 0.942 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 2.97 | 2.51 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 62% • DET at home vs NYR: 0-4
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-16 | NYR 1 - 2 DET | DET | NYR |
| 2025-11-07 | DET 1 - 4 NYR | NYR | DET |
| 2024-11-09 | DET 0 - 4 NYR | NYR | NYR |
| 2024-10-17 | DET 2 - 5 NYR | NYR | NYR |
| 2024-10-14 | NYR 4 - 1 DET | NYR | NYR |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08:30 | NYR | Goal |
| 1 | 15:39 | NYR | Goal |
| 2 | 01:27 | NYR | Goal |
| 2 | 08:46 | NYR | Goal |
| 2 | 11:42 | NYR | Goal |
| 2 | 12:20 | NYR | Goal |
| 3 | 16:41 | NYR | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 50.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
Detroit Red Wings 2 - 5 New York Rangers
Expected: 2.8 - 3.7