New York Rangers at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions

2024-10-17 • Little Caesars Arena

Detroit Red Wings 2 - 5 New York Rangers

Win Probability

DET: 32.0%

NYR: 68.0%

Expected Goals

DET: 2.65

NYR: 3.60

Total Goals

Median: 6.9

Over 5.5: 73%

Over 6.5: 57%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 89% • DET at home vs NYR: 0-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-04	NYR 4 - 1 DET	NYR	NYR
2025-11-16	NYR 1 - 2 DET	DET	NYR
2025-11-07	DET 1 - 4 NYR	NYR	NYR
2024-11-09	DET 0 - 4 NYR	NYR	NYR
2024-10-17	DET 2 - 5 NYR	NYR	NYR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DET	24	1	1.67
1	NYR	12	0	0.57
2	DET	9	0	0.45
2	NYR	18	0	0.89
3	DET	15	0	0.85
3	NYR	15	0	0.92

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 68.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Detroit Red Wings 2 - 5 New York Rangers

Expected: 2.7 - 3.6