Dallas Stars at Washington Capitals NHL Predictions
2024-10-17 • Capital One Arena
Washington Capitals 3 - 2 Dallas Stars
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
WSH: 51.1%
DAL: 48.9%
Expected Goals
WSH: 3.01
DAL: 2.81
Total Goals
Median: 5.7
Over 5.5: 52%
Over 6.5: 38%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
WSH
Logan Thompson - 20-16-4 | 0.913 SV% | 2.41 GAA
DAL
Jake Oettinger - 23-10-4 | 0.897 SV% | 2.73 GAA
| Stat | WSH | DAL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.913 | 0.907 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.904 | 0.860 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.926 | 1.000 |
| GAA | 2.39 | 2.57 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • WSH at home vs DAL: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-07 | WSH 1 - 4 DAL | DAL | WSH |
| 2025-10-28 | DAL 1 - 0 WSH | DAL | DAL |
| 2024-12-16 | DAL 3 - 1 WSH | DAL | DAL |
| 2024-10-17 | WSH 3 - 2 DAL | WSH | WSH |
| 2024-01-27 | DAL 5 - 4 WSH | DAL | DAL |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12:19 | DAL | Goal |
| 2 | 00:55 | WSH | Goal |
| 2 | 06:15 | WSH | Goal |
| 2 | 13:09 | WSH | Goal |
| 2 | 17:19 | WSH | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 51.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 5.8
Score Breakdown
Washington Capitals 3 - 2 Dallas Stars
Expected: 3.0 - 2.8