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2025-26 Season Live

Dallas Stars at Washington Capitals NHL Predictions

2024-10-17 • Capital One Arena
Washington Capitals 3 - 2 Dallas Stars

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability
WSH: 63.5%
DAL: 36.5%
Expected Goals
WSH: 3.34
DAL: 2.52
Total Goals
Median: 4.8
Over 5.5: 38%
Over 6.5: 25%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

WSH
Logan Thompson - 31-21-6 | 0.912 SV% | 2.44 GAA
DAL
Jake Oettinger - 35-12-6 | 0.899 SV% | 2.59 GAA
StatWSHDAL
Season SV%0.9130.907
Last 5 SV%0.9120.916
SV% vs Opponent0.9261.000
GAA2.392.57
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • WSH at home vs DAL: 1-2
DateScoreWinnerModel Pick
2026-01-07WSH 1 - 4 DALDALWSH
2025-10-28DAL 1 - 0 WSHDALDAL
2024-12-16DAL 3 - 1 WSHDALDAL
2024-10-17WSH 3 - 2 DALWSHWSH
2024-01-27DAL 5 - 4 WSHDALDAL

⚡ In-Game Win Probability

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 0:00 20:00 40:00 60:00 In-Game Win Probability Home Win Probability Game Time (minutes)

Goals

PeriodTimeTeamScorer
112:19DALGoal
200:55WSHGoal
206:15WSHGoal
213:09WSHGoal
217:19WSHGoal

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 63.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
Washington Capitals 3 - 2 Dallas Stars
Expected: 3.3 - 2.5