San Jose Sharks at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions

2024-10-17 • United Center

Chicago Blackhawks 4 - 2 San Jose Sharks

Win Probability

CHI: 60.0%

SJS: 40.0%

Expected Goals

CHI: 3.50

SJS: 2.58

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 44%

CHI

Petr Mrazek - 18-31-4 | 0.907 SV% | 3.05 GAA

SJS

Vitek Vanecek - 17-9-3 | 0.890 SV% | 3.18 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CHI	Petr Mrazek	22	20	2	90.9%	2.40	1	0.40
SJS	Vitek Vanecek	27	23	4	85.2%	3.57	2	-0.43

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 78% • CHI at home vs SJS: 5-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-15	CHI 5 - 2 SJS	CHI	SJS
2026-04-06	SJS 3 - 2 CHI	SJS	SJS
2026-02-02	CHI 6 - 3 SJS	CHI	CHI
2025-03-13	SJS 4 - 2 CHI	SJS	SJS
2024-10-31	SJS 3 - 2 CHI	SJS	SJS

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CHI	20	1	1.15
1	SJS	6	0	0.59
2	CHI	22	0	1.48
2	SJS	15	1	0.93
3	CHI	7	1	0.95
3	SJS	16	0	0.88

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 60.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Chicago Blackhawks 4 - 2 San Jose Sharks

Expected: 3.5 - 2.6