Detroit Red Wings at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions

2024-10-19 • Bridgestone Arena

Nashville Predators 2 - 5 Detroit Red Wings

🚨 Upset Loss (71% underdog)

Win Probability

NSH: 71.5%

DET: 28.5%

Expected Goals

NSH: 4.27

DET: 2.46

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 42%

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

DET

Alex Lyon - 14-9-1 | 0.896 SV% | 2.81 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NSH	Juuse Saros	24	19	5	79.2%	3.83	4	-1.17
DET	Alex Lyon	39	37	2	94.9%	3.25	1	1.25

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 40% • NSH at home vs DET: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-02	NSH 2 - 4 DET	DET	NSH
2025-11-26	DET 3 - 6 NSH	NSH	DET
2024-10-19	NSH 2 - 5 DET	DET	NSH
2024-10-12	DET 3 - 0 NSH	DET	NSH
2024-03-23	NSH 1 - 0 DET	NSH	NSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NSH	13	0	0.50
1	DET	15	0	0.85
2	NSH	17	0	0.95
2	DET	8	1	0.88
3	NSH	29	1	1.80
3	DET	12	3	2.10

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 71.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown

Nashville Predators 2 - 5 Detroit Red Wings

Expected: 4.3 - 2.5