Washington Capitals at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2024-10-19 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 5 - 6 Washington Capitals

Win Probability

NJD: 49.9%

WSH: 50.1%

Expected Goals

NJD: 3.45

WSH: 3.49

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 41%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • NJD at home vs WSH: 1-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-02	NJD 7 - 3 WSH	NJD	NJD
2026-03-20	WSH 2 - 1 NJD	WSH	NJD
2025-12-27	NJD 3 - 4 WSH	WSH	NJD
2025-11-15	WSH 2 - 3 NJD	NJD	WSH
2024-11-30	NJD 5 - 6 WSH	WSH	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	16	1	0.89
1	WSH	20	3	1.86
2	NJD	12	0	1.04
2	WSH	13	0	0.75
3	NJD	13	1	0.85
3	WSH	10	0	0.40
4	NJD	3	1	0.43
4	WSH	6	0	0.42

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 11.0

Expected: 6.9

Score Breakdown

New Jersey Devils 5 - 6 Washington Capitals

Expected: 3.5 - 3.5