Washington Capitals at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2024-10-19 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 5 - 6 Washington Capitals

🚨 Upset Loss (57% underdog)

Win Probability

NJD: 56.6%

WSH: 43.4%

Expected Goals

NJD: 3.36

WSH: 2.94

Total Goals

Median: 6.8

Over 5.5: 68%

Over 6.5: 58%

NJD

Jacob Markstrom - 23-19-1 | 0.883 SV% | 3.07 GAA

WSH

Logan Thompson - 31-21-6 | 0.912 SV% | 2.44 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • NJD at home vs WSH: 1-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-02	NJD 7 - 3 WSH	NJD	NJD
2026-03-20	WSH 2 - 1 NJD	WSH	NJD
2025-12-27	NJD 3 - 4 WSH	WSH	NJD
2025-11-15	WSH 2 - 3 NJD	NJD	WSH
2024-11-30	NJD 5 - 6 WSH	WSH	NJD

Period	Time	Team	Scorer
1	04:45	NJD	Goal
1	06:01	NJD	Goal
1	10:14	WSH	Goal
1	14:18	WSH	Goal
2	00:34	WSH	Goal
2	00:44	NJD	Goal
2	09:15	WSH	Goal
2	12:33	WSH	Goal
3	03:39	WSH	Goal
3	12:28	NJD	Goal
4	04:00	WSH	Goal

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 56.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 11.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

New Jersey Devils 5 - 6 Washington Capitals

Expected: 3.4 - 2.9