Vancouver Canucks at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions

2024-10-19 • Wells Fargo Center

Philadelphia Flyers 0 - 3 Vancouver Canucks

🚨 Upset Loss (53% underdog)

Win Probability

PHI: 52.8%

VAN: 47.2%

Expected Goals

PHI: 4.24

VAN: 3.48

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 53%

Over 6.5: 40%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • PHI at home vs VAN: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-30	VAN 3 - 6 PHI	PHI	PHI
2025-12-22	PHI 5 - 2 VAN	PHI	PHI
2024-10-19	PHI 0 - 3 VAN	VAN	PHI
2024-10-11	VAN 2 - 3 PHI	PHI	PHI
2023-12-28	VAN 1 - 4 PHI	PHI	PHI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PHI	12	0	0.71
1	VAN	17	0	0.69
2	PHI	22	0	1.29
2	VAN	19	0	0.94
3	PHI	15	1	1.26
3	VAN	7	0	0.19

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 52.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 7.7

Score Breakdown

Philadelphia Flyers 0 - 3 Vancouver Canucks

Expected: 4.2 - 3.5