Minnesota Wild at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions

2024-10-19 • Nationwide Arena

Columbus Blue Jackets 1 - 3 Minnesota Wild

🚨 Upset Loss (56% underdog)

Win Probability

CBJ: 55.8%

MIN: 44.2%

Expected Goals

CBJ: 2.94

MIN: 3.15

Total Goals

Median: 5.7

Over 5.5: 52%

Over 6.5: 38%

CBJ

Daniil Tarasov - 8-11-3 | 0.908 SV% | 3.18 GAA

MIN

Filip Gustavsson - 13-8-4 | 0.912 SV% | 2.47 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CBJ	Daniil Tarasov	34	31	3	91.2%	3.29	2	0.29
MIN	Filip Gustavsson	24	23	1	95.8%	1.91	1	0.91

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • CBJ at home vs MIN: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-18	CBJ 2 - 5 MIN	MIN	CBJ
2025-10-11	MIN 4 - 7 CBJ	CBJ	CBJ
2024-10-19	CBJ 1 - 3 MIN	MIN	CBJ
2024-10-10	MIN 3 - 2 CBJ	MIN	MIN
2024-01-06	CBJ 3 - 4 MIN	MIN	MIN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CBJ	9	0	0.29
1	MIN	17	1	1.31
2	CBJ	16	1	1.04
2	MIN	14	0	1.01
3	CBJ	12	0	0.59
3	MIN	17	1	0.97

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 55.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Columbus Blue Jackets 1 - 3 Minnesota Wild

Expected: 2.9 - 3.2