Buffalo Sabres at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions

2024-10-19 • United Center

Chicago Blackhawks 2 - 4 Buffalo Sabres

Win Probability

CHI: 46.5%

BUF: 53.5%

Expected Goals

CHI: 3.22

BUF: 3.09

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 47%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 100% • CHI at home vs BUF: 0-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-13	CHI 1 - 5 BUF	BUF	BUF
2025-11-21	BUF 9 - 3 CHI	BUF	BUF
2024-12-27	BUF 6 - 2 CHI	BUF	BUF
2024-10-19	CHI 2 - 4 BUF	BUF	BUF
2024-01-18	BUF 3 - 0 CHI	BUF	BUF

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CHI	16	0	0.84
1	BUF	14	0	0.64
2	CHI	14	0	0.68
2	BUF	12	0	0.80
3	CHI	15	0	0.72
3	BUF	9	2	1.59

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 53.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Chicago Blackhawks 2 - 4 Buffalo Sabres

Expected: 3.2 - 3.1