Buffalo Sabres at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions
2024-10-19 • United Center
Chicago Blackhawks 2 - 4 Buffalo Sabres
🚨 Upset Loss (52% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CHI: 51.7%
BUF: 48.3%
Expected Goals
CHI: 3.20
BUF: 3.05
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 61%
Over 6.5: 45%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CHI
Spencer Knight - 16-16-7 | 0.908 SV% | 2.62 GAA
BUF
Alex Lyon - 14-8-3 | 0.913 SV% | 2.72 GAA
| Stat | CHI | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.909 | 0.906 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.864 | 0.934 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 2.63 | 2.82 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • CHI at home vs BUF: 0-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-21 | BUF 9 - 3 CHI | BUF | BUF |
| 2024-12-27 | BUF 6 - 2 CHI | BUF | BUF |
| 2024-10-19 | CHI 2 - 4 BUF | BUF | CHI |
| 2024-01-18 | BUF 3 - 0 CHI | BUF | BUF |
| 2023-11-19 | CHI 2 - 3 BUF | BUF | CHI |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08:39 | BUF | Goal |
| 1 | 11:31 | BUF | Goal |
| 2 | 06:28 | BUF | Goal |
| 2 | 12:48 | CHI | Goal |
| 2 | 18:37 | BUF | Goal |
| 3 | 19:34 | BUF | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 51.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Chicago Blackhawks 2 - 4 Buffalo Sabres
Expected: 3.2 - 3.0