Boston Bruins at Utah Hockey Club NHL Predictions

2024-10-19 • Delta Center

Utah Hockey Club 2 - 1 Boston Bruins

Win Probability

UTA: 62.6%

BOS: 37.4%

Expected Goals

UTA: 3.08

BOS: 3.01

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 43%

UTA

Connor Ingram - 9-8-4 | 0.882 SV% | 3.27 GAA

BOS

Jeremy Swayman - 15-10-2 | 0.903 SV% | 2.84 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
UTA	Connor Ingram	22	21	1	95.5%	2.17	2	1.17
BOS	Jeremy Swayman	32	30	2	93.8%	2.68	2	0.68

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 100% • UTA at home vs BOS: 2-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-16	BOS 4 - 1 UTA	BOS	BOS
2025-10-19	UTA 3 - 2 BOS	UTA	UTA
2024-11-21	BOS 1 - 0 UTA	BOS	BOS
2024-10-19	UTA 2 - 1 BOS	UTA	UTA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	UTA	17	1	0.72
1	BOS	10	1	0.74
2	UTA	13	1	0.67
2	BOS	10	0	0.34
3	UTA	14	0	0.89
3	BOS	13	1	1.09
4	UTA	5	0	0.40
4	BOS	0	0	0.00

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 62.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Utah Hockey Club 2 - 1 Boston Bruins

Expected: 3.1 - 3.0