Pittsburgh Penguins at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2024-10-20 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 6 - 3 Pittsburgh Penguins

Win Probability

WPG: 63.6%

PIT: 36.4%

Expected Goals

WPG: 3.44

PIT: 3.31

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 50%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • WPG at home vs PIT: 3-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-21	PIT 5 - 4 WPG	PIT	PIT
2025-11-01	WPG 5 - 2 PIT	WPG	PIT
2024-11-22	PIT 1 - 4 WPG	WPG	PIT
2024-10-20	WPG 6 - 3 PIT	WPG	WPG
2024-02-10	WPG 2 - 1 PIT	WPG	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	17	0	0.97
1	PIT	16	1	1.31
2	WPG	17	3	1.78
2	PIT	22	2	1.76
3	WPG	17	2	1.99
3	PIT	21	0	1.11

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 63.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown

Winnipeg Jets 6 - 3 Pittsburgh Penguins

Expected: 3.4 - 3.3