Colorado Avalanche at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions

2024-10-20 • SAP Center at San Jose

San Jose Sharks 1 - 4 Colorado Avalanche

Win Probability

SJS: 34.7%

COL: 65.3%

Expected Goals

SJS: 1.30

COL: 3.39

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 48%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 100% • SJS at home vs COL: 1-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-04	COL 4 - 2 SJS	COL	COL
2025-11-26	COL 6 - 0 SJS	COL	COL
2025-11-01	SJS 3 - 2 COL	SJS	SJS
2025-03-06	COL 7 - 3 SJS	COL	COL
2024-12-19	SJS 2 - 4 COL	COL	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SJS	10	1	0.45
1	COL	15	0	1.07
2	SJS	21	0	1.26
2	COL	11	0	0.66
3	SJS	11	0	0.25
3	COL	9	2	1.73

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 65.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 4.7

Score Breakdown

San Jose Sharks 1 - 4 Colorado Avalanche

Expected: 1.3 - 3.4