New York Rangers at Montreal Canadiens NHL Predictions

2024-10-22 • Centre Bell

Montreal Canadiens 2 - 7 New York Rangers

Win Probability

MTL: 36.0%

NYR: 64.0%

Expected Goals

MTL: 2.55

NYR: 4.44

Total Goals

Median: 6.7

Over 5.5: 65%

Over 6.5: 52%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 78% • MTL at home vs NYR: 2-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-02	NYR 2 - 3 MTL	MTL	MTL
2025-12-13	NYR 5 - 4 MTL	NYR	NYR
2025-10-18	MTL 3 - 4 NYR	NYR	MTL
2025-01-19	MTL 5 - 4 NYR	MTL	MTL
2024-11-30	NYR 4 - 3 MTL	NYR	NYR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MTL	16	1	1.06
1	NYR	18	0	1.66
2	MTL	9	0	0.58
2	NYR	20	1	1.50
3	MTL	9	0	0.49
3	NYR	27	3	2.52

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 64.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 7.0

Score Breakdown

Montreal Canadiens 2 - 7 New York Rangers

Expected: 2.6 - 4.4