Winnipeg Jets at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions

2024-10-22 • Enterprise Center

St. Louis Blues 2 - 3 Winnipeg Jets

Win Probability

STL: 34.8%

WPG: 65.2%

Expected Goals

STL: 2.32

WPG: 3.62

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 45%

STL

Jordan Binnington - 7-10-6 | 0.869 SV% | 3.56 GAA

WPG

Connor Hellebuyck - 9-10-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.51 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
STL	Jordan Binnington	24	21	3	87.5%	2.18	2	-0.82
WPG	Connor Hellebuyck	29	27	2	93.1%	2.94	2	0.94

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • STL at home vs WPG: 4-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-09	STL 2 - 3 WPG	WPG	STL
2026-03-15	WPG 3 - 2 STL	WPG	STL
2026-01-20	WPG 3 - 1 STL	WPG	WPG
2025-12-17	STL 1 - 0 WPG	STL	WPG
2025-05-04	WPG 4 - 3 STL	WPG	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	STL	15	0	0.84
1	WPG	12	0	0.52
2	STL	14	0	0.91
2	WPG	19	1	1.00
3	STL	12	2	1.19
3	WPG	8	1	0.66

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 65.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

St. Louis Blues 2 - 3 Winnipeg Jets

Expected: 2.3 - 3.6