Carolina Hurricanes at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions
2024-10-22 • Rogers Place
Edmonton Oilers 2 - 3 Carolina Hurricanes
🚨 Upset Loss (51% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
EDM: 50.5%
CAR: 49.5%
Expected Goals
EDM: 2.97
CAR: 2.87
Total Goals
Median: 5.3
Over 5.5: 49%
Over 6.5: 33%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
EDM
Tristan Jarry - 15-7-2 | 0.890 SV% | 3.18 GAA
CAR
Brandon Bussi - 23-3-1 | 0.906 SV% | 2.16 GAA
| Stat | EDM | CAR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.906 | 0.901 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.841 | 0.915 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 2.73 | 2.33 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 40% • EDM at home vs CAR: 1-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-15 | CAR 3 - 4 EDM | EDM | CAR |
| 2025-03-01 | CAR 1 - 3 EDM | EDM | CAR |
| 2024-10-22 | EDM 2 - 3 CAR | CAR | EDM |
| 2023-12-06 | EDM 6 - 1 CAR | EDM | EDM |
| 2023-11-22 | CAR 6 - 3 EDM | CAR | CAR |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 03:34 | EDM | Goal |
| 2 | 02:30 | EDM | Goal |
| 3 | 13:29 | EDM | Goal |
| 3 | 00:44 | EDM | Goal |
| 4 | 04:53 | CAR | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 50.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 5.8
Score Breakdown
Edmonton Oilers 2 - 3 Carolina Hurricanes
Expected: 3.0 - 2.9