Carolina Hurricanes at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2024-10-22 • Rogers Place

Edmonton Oilers 2 - 3 Carolina Hurricanes

Win Probability

EDM: 37.4%

CAR: 62.6%

Expected Goals

EDM: 2.68

CAR: 3.41

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 42%

EDM

Stuart Skinner - 26-18-4 | 0.896 SV% | 2.81 GAA

CAR

Frederik Andersen - 5-9-2 | 0.865 SV% | 3.38 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
EDM	Stuart Skinner	33	30	3	90.9%	3.79	3	0.79
CAR	Frederik Andersen	35	33	2	94.3%	4.10	3	2.10

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • EDM at home vs CAR: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-06	EDM 3 - 6 CAR	CAR	EDM
2025-11-15	CAR 3 - 4 EDM	EDM	CAR
2025-03-01	CAR 1 - 3 EDM	EDM	CAR
2024-10-22	EDM 2 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR
2023-12-06	EDM 6 - 1 CAR	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	EDM	15	0	1.48
1	CAR	22	1	1.35
2	EDM	12	1	1.07
2	CAR	12	1	0.88
3	EDM	12	2	1.02
3	CAR	11	1	0.86
4	EDM	5	0	0.53
4	CAR	6	0	0.70

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 62.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Edmonton Oilers 2 - 3 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 2.7 - 3.4