Los Angeles Kings at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions

2024-10-22 • T-Mobile Arena

Vegas Golden Knights 6 - 1 Los Angeles Kings

Win Probability

VGK: 51.5%

LAK: 48.5%

Expected Goals

VGK: 3.30

LAK: 3.43

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 48%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 36% • VGK at home vs LAK: 3-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-25	LAK 4 - 6 VGK	VGK	LAK
2026-02-05	VGK 4 - 1 LAK	VGK	VGK
2026-01-14	LAK 2 - 3 VGK	VGK	LAK
2025-10-08	VGK 5 - 6 LAK	LAK	VGK
2025-03-09	VGK 5 - 6 LAK	LAK	VGK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VGK	15	2	1.13
1	LAK	20	0	0.96
2	VGK	14	1	0.61
2	LAK	17	1	0.81
3	VGK	10	2	1.29
3	LAK	21	1	1.74

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown

Vegas Golden Knights 6 - 1 Los Angeles Kings

Expected: 3.3 - 3.4