New Jersey Devils at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions
2024-10-24 • Little Caesars Arena
Detroit Red Wings 5 - 3 New Jersey Devils
🚨 Upset Win (53% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
DET: 46.5%
NJD: 53.5%
Expected Goals
DET: 2.99
NJD: 3.00
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 55%
Over 6.5: 41%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
DET
John Gibson - 29-22-4 | 0.901 SV% | 2.72 GAA
NJD
Jacob Markstrom - 23-19-1 | 0.883 SV% | 3.07 GAA
| Stat | DET | NJD |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.893 | 0.884 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.862 | 0.873 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.925 | 0.908 |
| GAA | 2.97 | 3.32 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • DET at home vs NJD: 2-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | DET 3 - 5 NJD | NJD | NJD |
| 2026-03-08 | NJD 0 - 3 DET | DET | NJD |
| 2025-11-24 | NJD 4 - 3 DET | NJD | DET |
| 2025-04-16 | NJD 2 - 5 DET | DET | DET |
| 2024-11-29 | DET 4 - 5 NJD | NJD | NJD |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12:11 | NJD | Goal |
| 1 | 18:09 | DET | Goal |
| 1 | 18:34 | DET | Goal |
| 2 | 04:59 | DET | Goal |
| 3 | 09:46 | DET | Goal |
| 3 | 11:41 | DET | Goal |
| 3 | 16:28 | DET | Goal |
| 3 | 19:48 | DET | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 53.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 8.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
Detroit Red Wings 5 - 3 New Jersey Devils
Expected: 3.0 - 3.0
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