San Jose Sharks at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions

2024-10-24 • Crypto.com Arena

Los Angeles Kings 3 - 2 San Jose Sharks

Win Probability

LAK: 74.9%

SJS: 25.1%

Expected Goals

LAK: 4.01

SJS: 1.83

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 40%

LAK

David Rittich - 16-14-2 | 0.886 SV% | 2.84 GAA

SJS

Mackenzie Blackwood - 10-25-4 | 0.899 SV% | 3.45 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
LAK	David Rittich	26	24	2	92.3%	1.87	1	-0.13
SJS	Mackenzie Blackwood	30	27	3	90.0%	2.92	2	-0.08

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 55% • LAK at home vs SJS: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-07	LAK 3 - 4 SJS	SJS	LAK
2025-11-20	SJS 4 - 3 LAK	SJS	LAK
2025-10-28	SJS 3 - 4 LAK	LAK	LAK
2025-03-30	LAK 8 - 1 SJS	LAK	LAK
2024-11-25	SJS 7 - 2 LAK	SJS	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	LAK	20	1	1.45
1	SJS	10	0	0.38
2	LAK	8	1	0.57
2	SJS	11	0	0.66
3	LAK	14	0	0.90
3	SJS	16	1	0.83

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 74.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

Los Angeles Kings 3 - 2 San Jose Sharks

Expected: 4.0 - 1.8