Ottawa Senators at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions

2024-10-25 • T-Mobile Arena

Vegas Golden Knights 6 - 4 Ottawa Senators

🚨 Upset Win (55% underdog)

Win Probability

VGK: 45.3%

OTT: 54.7%

Expected Goals

VGK: 3.31

OTT: 3.21

Total Goals

Median: 7.6

Over 5.5: 77%

Over 6.5: 66%

VGK

Akira Schmid - 16-10-6 | 0.893 SV% | 2.59 GAA

OTT

Linus Ullmark - 28-12-8 | 0.891 SV% | 2.73 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • VGK at home vs OTT: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-25	OTT 7 - 1 VGK	OTT	OTT
2025-11-26	VGK 3 - 4 OTT	OTT	VGK
2024-11-21	OTT 2 - 3 VGK	VGK	OTT
2024-10-25	VGK 6 - 4 OTT	VGK	OTT
2024-02-24	OTT 4 - 3 VGK	OTT	OTT

Period	Time	Team	Scorer
1	02:40	OTT	Goal
1	12:15	OTT	Goal
1	17:23	OTT	Goal
1	17:44	VGK	Goal
1	18:34	OTT	Goal
2	06:40	VGK	Goal
2	17:44	OTT	Goal
3	16:49	VGK	Goal
3	17:49	VGK	Goal
3	18:14	VGK	Goal

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 54.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 10.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Vegas Golden Knights 6 - 4 Ottawa Senators

Expected: 3.3 - 3.2