Ottawa Senators at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions

2024-10-25 • T-Mobile Arena

Vegas Golden Knights 6 - 4 Ottawa Senators

🚨 Upset Win (52% underdog)

Win Probability

VGK: 48.1%

OTT: 51.9%

Expected Goals

VGK: 3.08

OTT: 3.31

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • VGK at home vs OTT: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-25	OTT 7 - 1 VGK	OTT	OTT
2025-11-26	VGK 3 - 4 OTT	OTT	VGK
2024-11-21	OTT 2 - 3 VGK	VGK	OTT
2024-10-25	VGK 6 - 4 OTT	VGK	OTT
2024-02-24	OTT 4 - 3 VGK	OTT	OTT

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VGK	17	1	1.06
1	OTT	17	0	0.79
2	VGK	11	0	0.47
2	OTT	19	0	0.68
3	VGK	10	1	1.18
3	OTT	20	0	1.11

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 51.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 10.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Vegas Golden Knights 6 - 4 Ottawa Senators

Expected: 3.1 - 3.3