Ottawa Senators at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions
2024-10-25 • T-Mobile Arena
Vegas Golden Knights 6 - 4 Ottawa Senators
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
VGK: 54.1%
OTT: 45.9%
Expected Goals
VGK: 4.04
OTT: 3.16
Total Goals
Median: 7.0
Over 5.5: 71%
Over 6.5: 56%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
VGK
Akira Schmid - 16-6-6 | 0.895 SV% | 2.53 GAA
OTT
Linus Ullmark - 16-8-5 | 0.884 SV% | 2.86 GAA
| Stat | VGK | OTT |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.895 | 0.881 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.891 | 0.882 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.864 | 0.914 |
| GAA | 2.50 | 2.95 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • VGK at home vs OTT: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-25 | OTT 7 - 1 VGK | OTT | OTT |
| 2025-11-26 | VGK 3 - 4 OTT | OTT | VGK |
| 2024-11-21 | OTT 2 - 3 VGK | VGK | OTT |
| 2024-10-25 | VGK 6 - 4 OTT | VGK | VGK |
| 2024-02-24 | OTT 4 - 3 VGK | OTT | OTT |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 02:40 | OTT | Goal |
| 1 | 12:15 | OTT | Goal |
| 1 | 17:23 | OTT | Goal |
| 1 | 17:44 | VGK | Goal |
| 1 | 18:34 | OTT | Goal |
| 2 | 06:40 | VGK | Goal |
| 2 | 17:44 | OTT | Goal |
| 3 | 16:49 | VGK | Goal |
| 3 | 17:49 | VGK | Goal |
| 3 | 18:14 | VGK | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 54.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 10.0
Expected: 7.2
Score Breakdown
Vegas Golden Knights 6 - 4 Ottawa Senators
Expected: 4.0 - 3.2