Nashville Predators at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions

2024-10-25 • United Center

Chicago Blackhawks 2 - 3 Nashville Predators

Win Probability

CHI: 42.7%

NSH: 57.3%

Expected Goals

CHI: 3.06

NSH: 3.22

Total Goals

Median: 5.7

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 43%

CHI

Petr Mrazek - 18-31-4 | 0.907 SV% | 3.05 GAA

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CHI	Petr Mrazek	34	31	3	91.2%	2.81	0	-0.19
NSH	Juuse Saros	29	27	2	93.1%	3.66	4	1.66

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 75% • CHI at home vs NSH: 1-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-22	CHI 2 - 3 NSH	NSH	CHI
2026-02-26	NSH 4 - 2 CHI	NSH	NSH
2026-01-10	NSH 0 - 3 CHI	CHI	NSH
2025-11-28	CHI 3 - 4 NSH	NSH	NSH
2025-03-08	NSH 3 - 2 CHI	NSH	NSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CHI	15	2	1.53
1	NSH	13	0	0.83
2	CHI	17	0	0.89
2	NSH	20	0	1.27
3	CHI	13	2	1.24
3	NSH	15	0	0.71

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 57.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Chicago Blackhawks 2 - 3 Nashville Predators

Expected: 3.1 - 3.2