Pittsburgh Penguins at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2024-10-25 • Rogers Place

Edmonton Oilers 4 - 0 Pittsburgh Penguins

Win Probability

EDM: 61.5%

PIT: 38.5%

Expected Goals

EDM: 3.58

PIT: 2.84

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 49%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • EDM at home vs PIT: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-22	EDM 2 - 6 PIT	PIT	EDM
2025-12-16	PIT 4 - 6 EDM	EDM	EDM
2025-01-09	PIT 5 - 3 EDM	PIT	EDM
2024-10-25	EDM 4 - 0 PIT	EDM	EDM
2024-03-10	PIT 0 - 4 EDM	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	EDM	26	2	1.73
1	PIT	10	0	0.60
2	EDM	27	0	1.65
2	PIT	15	1	1.08
3	EDM	17	0	1.86
3	PIT	13	0	0.78

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 61.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Edmonton Oilers 4 - 0 Pittsburgh Penguins

Expected: 3.6 - 2.8