Pittsburgh Penguins at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions
2024-10-25 • Rogers Place
Edmonton Oilers 4 - 0 Pittsburgh Penguins
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
EDM: 53.7%
PIT: 46.3%
Expected Goals
EDM: 3.06
PIT: 2.74
Total Goals
Median: 5.3
Over 5.5: 49%
Over 6.5: 34%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
EDM
Tristan Jarry - 15-7-2 | 0.890 SV% | 3.18 GAA
PIT
Stuart Skinner - 19-12-5 | 0.890 SV% | 2.79 GAA
| Stat | EDM | PIT |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.906 | 0.888 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.841 | 0.863 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.811 | 0.773 |
| GAA | 2.73 | 2.91 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • EDM at home vs PIT: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-22 | EDM 2 - 6 PIT | PIT | EDM |
| 2025-12-16 | PIT 4 - 6 EDM | EDM | PIT |
| 2025-01-09 | PIT 5 - 3 EDM | PIT | PIT |
| 2024-10-25 | EDM 4 - 0 PIT | EDM | EDM |
| 2024-03-10 | PIT 0 - 4 EDM | EDM | PIT |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 17:35 | EDM | Goal |
| 2 | 13:00 | EDM | Goal |
| 3 | 07:00 | EDM | Goal |
| 3 | 00:16 | EDM | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 53.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 4.0
Expected: 5.8
Score Breakdown
Edmonton Oilers 4 - 0 Pittsburgh Penguins
Expected: 3.1 - 2.7