Pittsburgh Penguins at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2024-10-25 • Rogers Place

Edmonton Oilers 4 - 0 Pittsburgh Penguins

Win Probability

EDM: 61.9%

PIT: 38.1%

Expected Goals

EDM: 3.77

PIT: 2.78

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 49%

EDM

Stuart Skinner - 26-18-4 | 0.896 SV% | 2.81 GAA

PIT

J. Blomqvist

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
EDM	Stuart Skinner	27	27	0	100.0%	2.46	1	2.46
PIT	J. Blomqvist	50	46	4	92.0%	5.24	2	1.24

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 40% • EDM at home vs PIT: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-22	EDM 2 - 6 PIT	PIT	EDM
2025-12-16	PIT 4 - 6 EDM	EDM	EDM
2025-01-09	PIT 5 - 3 EDM	PIT	EDM
2024-10-25	EDM 4 - 0 PIT	EDM	EDM
2024-03-10	PIT 0 - 4 EDM	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	EDM	26	2	1.73
1	PIT	10	0	0.60
2	EDM	27	0	1.65
2	PIT	15	1	1.08
3	EDM	17	0	1.86
3	PIT	13	0	0.78

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 61.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Edmonton Oilers 4 - 0 Pittsburgh Penguins

Expected: 3.8 - 2.8