Minnesota Wild at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions

2024-10-26 • Wells Fargo Center

Philadelphia Flyers 7 - 5 Minnesota Wild

Win Probability

PHI: 51.2%

MIN: 48.8%

Expected Goals

PHI: 3.93

MIN: 3.21

Total Goals

Median: 5.7

Over 5.5: 54%

Over 6.5: 39%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • PHI at home vs MIN: 3-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-12	MIN 2 - 3 PHI	PHI	MIN
2025-10-18	PHI 2 - 1 MIN	PHI	PHI
2024-12-14	MIN 4 - 1 PHI	MIN	MIN
2024-10-26	PHI 7 - 5 MIN	PHI	PHI
2024-01-12	MIN 3 - 4 PHI	PHI	MIN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PHI	8	0	0.55
1	MIN	14	0	0.96
2	PHI	6	0	0.33
2	MIN	22	2	1.89
3	PHI	22	4	2.65
3	MIN	6	0	0.21

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 12.0

Expected: 7.1

Score Breakdown

Philadelphia Flyers 7 - 5 Minnesota Wild

Expected: 3.9 - 3.2