Minnesota Wild at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions
2024-10-26 • Wells Fargo Center
Philadelphia Flyers 7 - 5 Minnesota Wild
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
PHI: 53.9%
MIN: 46.1%
Expected Goals
PHI: 4.45
MIN: 3.02
Total Goals
Median: 7.0
Over 5.5: 73%
Over 6.5: 60%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
PHI
Dan Vladar - 17-9-6 | 0.905 SV% | 2.46 GAA
MIN
Filip Gustavsson - 20-9-6 | 0.906 SV% | 2.64 GAA
| Stat | PHI | MIN |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.910 | 0.912 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.918 | 0.895 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.938 | — |
| GAA | 2.40 | 2.47 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 80% • PHI at home vs MIN: 3-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-18 | PHI 2 - 1 MIN | PHI | PHI |
| 2024-12-14 | MIN 4 - 1 PHI | MIN | MIN |
| 2024-10-26 | PHI 7 - 5 MIN | PHI | PHI |
| 2024-01-12 | MIN 3 - 4 PHI | PHI | MIN |
| 2023-10-26 | PHI 6 - 2 MIN | PHI | PHI |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 03:51 | PHI | Goal |
| 1 | 01:18 | PHI | Goal |
| 2 | 19:56 | PHI | Goal |
| 2 | 18:16 | PHI | Goal |
| 2 | 15:27 | PHI | Goal |
| 2 | 14:54 | PHI | Goal |
| 3 | 19:00 | PHI | Goal |
| 3 | 17:36 | PHI | Goal |
| 3 | 13:28 | PHI | Goal |
| 3 | 08:26 | PHI | Goal |
| 3 | 04:55 | PHI | Goal |
| 3 | 02:18 | MIN | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 53.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 12.0
Expected: 7.5
Score Breakdown
Philadelphia Flyers 7 - 5 Minnesota Wild
Expected: 4.5 - 3.0