Anaheim Ducks at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2024-10-26 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 2 - 1 Anaheim Ducks

Win Probability

NYR: 69.1%

ANA: 30.9%

Expected Goals

NYR: 3.53

ANA: 2.67

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 69%

Over 6.5: 51%

NYR

Jonathan Quick - 3-6-1 | 0.924 SV% | 2.11 GAA

ANA

Lukas Dostal - 13-9-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.15 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NYR	Jonathan Quick	33	32	1	97.0%	2.06	0	1.06
ANA	Lukas Dostal	32	30	2	93.8%	3.97	2	1.97

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • NYR at home vs ANA: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-19	ANA 5 - 3 NYR	ANA	ANA
2025-12-15	NYR 1 - 4 ANA	ANA	ANA
2025-03-28	ANA 5 - 4 NYR	ANA	NYR
2024-10-26	NYR 2 - 1 ANA	NYR	NYR
2024-01-21	ANA 2 - 5 NYR	NYR	NYR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYR	24	1	1.49
1	ANA	11	0	0.48
2	NYR	15	0	1.09
2	ANA	22	0	1.11
3	NYR	12	1	1.39
3	ANA	13	0	0.46

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 69.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

New York Rangers 2 - 1 Anaheim Ducks

Expected: 3.5 - 2.7