Florida Panthers at New York Islanders NHL Predictions
2024-10-26 • UBS Arena
New York Islanders 3 - 6 Florida Panthers
🚨 Upset Loss (53% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NYI: 53.4%
FLA: 46.6%
Expected Goals
NYI: 3.12
FLA: 2.91
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 56%
Over 6.5: 42%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NYI
Ilya Sorokin - 20-13-2 | 0.916 SV% | 2.44 GAA
FLA
Sergei Bobrovsky - 21-17-1 | 0.871 SV% | 3.13 GAA
| Stat | NYI | FLA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.910 | 0.888 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.930 | 0.837 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 2.55 | 2.80 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 43% • NYI at home vs FLA: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-07 | FLA 4 - 1 NYI | FLA | FLA |
| 2025-03-16 | NYI 4 - 2 FLA | NYI | NYI |
| 2025-02-02 | FLA 6 - 3 NYI | FLA | FLA |
| 2024-10-26 | NYI 3 - 6 FLA | FLA | NYI |
| 2024-03-28 | FLA 2 - 3 NYI | NYI | FLA |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 01:32 | NYI | Goal |
| 1 | 06:01 | NYI | Goal |
| 1 | 11:41 | NYI | Goal |
| 1 | 13:27 | NYI | Goal |
| 2 | 06:38 | NYI | Goal |
| 2 | 18:16 | NYI | Goal |
| 3 | 06:19 | FLA | Goal |
| 3 | 09:49 | FLA | Goal |
| 3 | 17:43 | FLA | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 53.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
New York Islanders 3 - 6 Florida Panthers
Expected: 3.1 - 2.9