Florida Panthers at New York Islanders NHL Predictions
2024-10-26 • UBS Arena
New York Islanders 3 - 6 Florida Panthers
🚨 Upset Loss (52% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NYI: 51.9%
FLA: 48.1%
Expected Goals
NYI: 2.62
FLA: 2.96
Total Goals
Median: 5.3
Over 5.5: 47%
Over 6.5: 33%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NYI
Ilya Sorokin - 29-24-2 | 0.906 SV% | 2.68 GAA
FLA
Sergei Bobrovsky - 27-23-1 | 0.877 SV% | 3.07 GAA
| Stat | NYI | FLA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.910 | 0.888 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.851 | 0.860 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.905 | 0.808 |
| GAA | 2.55 | 2.80 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • NYI at home vs FLA: 3-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-28 | NYI 5 - 2 FLA | NYI | NYI |
| 2026-03-01 | NYI 5 - 4 FLA | NYI | FLA |
| 2025-12-07 | FLA 4 - 1 NYI | FLA | FLA |
| 2025-03-16 | NYI 4 - 2 FLA | NYI | FLA |
| 2025-02-02 | FLA 6 - 3 NYI | FLA | FLA |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 51.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 5.6
Score Breakdown
New York Islanders 3 - 6 Florida Panthers
Expected: 2.6 - 3.0
Like this analysis? Get it daily.
Short, data-driven emails. Unsubscribe any time.