Pittsburgh Penguins at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions
2024-10-26 • Rogers Arena
Vancouver Canucks 4 - 3 Pittsburgh Penguins
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
VAN: 76.0%
PIT: 24.0%
Expected Goals
VAN: 3.31
PIT: 2.65
Total Goals
Median: 5.9
Over 5.5: 53%
Over 6.5: 39%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
VAN
Kevin Lankinen - 11-26-5 | 0.877 SV% | 3.65 GAA
PIT
Stuart Skinner - 23-17-9 | 0.888 SV% | 2.92 GAA
| Stat | VAN | PIT |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.885 | 0.888 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.872 | 0.886 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.843 | 0.938 |
| GAA | 3.41 | 2.91 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • VAN at home vs PIT: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-25 | VAN 2 - 3 PIT | PIT | PIT |
| 2025-10-21 | PIT 5 - 1 VAN | PIT | PIT |
| 2024-11-27 | PIT 5 - 4 VAN | PIT | PIT |
| 2024-10-26 | VAN 4 - 3 PIT | VAN | VAN |
| 2024-02-27 | VAN 3 - 4 PIT | PIT | VAN |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 07:48 | PIT | Goal |
| 2 | 01:56 | PIT | Goal |
| 2 | 04:06 | PIT | Goal |
| 2 | 04:49 | VAN | Goal |
| 2 | 05:11 | VAN | Goal |
| 2 | 09:58 | VAN | Goal |
| 3 | 13:22 | VAN | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 76.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
Vancouver Canucks 4 - 3 Pittsburgh Penguins
Expected: 3.3 - 2.7
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