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Edmonton Oilers at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions

2024-10-27 • Little Caesars Arena
Detroit Red Wings 2 - 3 Edmonton Oilers

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability
DET: 23.6%
EDM: 76.4%
Expected Goals
DET: 1.77
EDM: 2.90
Total Goals
Median: 3.5
Over 5.5: 17%
Over 6.5: 11%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

DET
John Gibson - 29-22-4 | 0.901 SV% | 2.72 GAA
EDM
Tristan Jarry - 18-9-3 | 0.882 SV% | 3.32 GAA
StatDETEDM
Season SV%0.8930.906
Last 5 SV%0.8620.837
SV% vs Opponent0.889—
GAA2.972.73
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • DET at home vs EDM: 1-2
DateScoreWinnerModel Pick
2025-12-11EDM 4 - 1 DETEDMEDM
2025-10-19DET 4 - 2 EDMDETDET
2025-01-30EDM 2 - 3 DETDETEDM
2024-10-27DET 2 - 3 EDMEDMEDM
2024-02-13EDM 8 - 4 DETEDMEDM

⚡ In-Game Win Probability

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 0:00 20:00 40:00 60:00 In-Game Win Probability Home Win Probability Game Time (minutes)

Goals

PeriodTimeTeamScorer
103:28DETGoal
208:46DETGoal
209:28DETGoal
310:47DETGoal
400:18EDMGoal

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 76.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 4.7
Score Breakdown
Detroit Red Wings 2 - 3 Edmonton Oilers
Expected: 1.8 - 2.9