Edmonton Oilers at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions
2024-10-27 • Little Caesars Arena
Detroit Red Wings 2 - 3 Edmonton Oilers
🚨 Upset Loss (51% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
DET: 50.7%
EDM: 49.3%
Expected Goals
DET: 2.68
EDM: 2.92
Total Goals
Median: 5.4
Over 5.5: 49%
Over 6.5: 34%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
DET
John Gibson - 22-12-2 | 0.904 SV% | 2.62 GAA
EDM
Tristan Jarry - 15-7-2 | 0.890 SV% | 3.18 GAA
| Stat | DET | EDM |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.893 | 0.906 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.887 | 0.841 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.889 | — |
| GAA | 2.97 | 2.73 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • DET at home vs EDM: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-11 | EDM 4 - 1 DET | EDM | EDM |
| 2025-10-19 | DET 4 - 2 EDM | DET | DET |
| 2025-01-30 | EDM 2 - 3 DET | DET | EDM |
| 2024-10-27 | DET 2 - 3 EDM | EDM | DET |
| 2024-02-13 | EDM 8 - 4 DET | EDM | EDM |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 03:28 | DET | Goal |
| 2 | 09:28 | DET | Goal |
| 2 | 08:46 | DET | Goal |
| 3 | 10:47 | DET | Goal |
| 4 | 00:18 | EDM | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 50.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 5.6
Score Breakdown
Detroit Red Wings 2 - 3 Edmonton Oilers
Expected: 2.7 - 2.9