Edmonton Oilers at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions

2024-10-27 • Little Caesars Arena

Detroit Red Wings 2 - 3 Edmonton Oilers

Win Probability

DET: 24.4%

EDM: 75.6%

Expected Goals

DET: 2.04

EDM: 3.43

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 43%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • DET at home vs EDM: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-11	EDM 4 - 1 DET	EDM	EDM
2025-10-19	DET 4 - 2 EDM	DET	DET
2025-01-30	EDM 2 - 3 DET	DET	EDM
2024-10-27	DET 2 - 3 EDM	EDM	EDM
2024-02-13	EDM 8 - 4 DET	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DET	19	1	1.30
1	EDM	8	0	0.50
2	DET	11	0	0.57
2	EDM	22	0	1.02
3	DET	7	0	0.37
3	EDM	16	0	1.02
4	DET	0	0	0.00
4	EDM	1	0	0.18

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 75.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 5.5

Score Breakdown

Detroit Red Wings 2 - 3 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 2.0 - 3.4