Edmonton Oilers at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions

2024-10-27 • Little Caesars Arena

Detroit Red Wings 2 - 3 Edmonton Oilers

Win Probability

DET: 20.5%

EDM: 79.5%

Expected Goals

DET: 2.42

EDM: 2.90

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 38%

DET

Cam Talbot - 11-6-3 | 0.888 SV% | 2.99 GAA

EDM

Calvin Pickard - 4-5-2 | 0.874 SV% | 3.69 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
DET	Cam Talbot	34	31	3	91.2%	2.72	0	-0.28
EDM	Calvin Pickard	26	24	2	92.3%	2.23	1	0.23

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • DET at home vs EDM: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-11	EDM 4 - 1 DET	EDM	EDM
2025-10-19	DET 4 - 2 EDM	DET	EDM
2025-01-30	EDM 2 - 3 DET	DET	EDM
2024-10-27	DET 2 - 3 EDM	EDM	EDM
2024-02-13	EDM 8 - 4 DET	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DET	19	1	1.30
1	EDM	8	0	0.50
2	DET	11	0	0.57
2	EDM	22	0	1.02
3	DET	7	0	0.37
3	EDM	16	0	1.02
4	DET	0	0	0.00
4	EDM	1	0	0.18

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 79.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 5.3

Score Breakdown

Detroit Red Wings 2 - 3 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 2.4 - 2.9