Montreal Canadiens at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions
2024-10-27 • Wells Fargo Center
Philadelphia Flyers 3 - 4 Montreal Canadiens
🚨 Upset Loss (70% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
PHI: 70.4%
MTL: 29.6%
Expected Goals
PHI: 3.28
MTL: 2.34
Total Goals
Median: 4.8
Over 5.5: 38%
Over 6.5: 26%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
PHI
Dan Vladar - 29-14-7 | 0.906 SV% | 2.42 GAA
MTL
Jakub Dobes - 29-10-4 | 0.901 SV% | 2.78 GAA
| Stat | PHI | MTL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.910 | 0.889 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.914 | 0.891 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.881 | 0.840 |
| GAA | 2.40 | 3.01 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • PHI at home vs MTL: 3-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-14 | PHI 4 - 2 MTL | PHI | PHI |
| 2025-12-16 | MTL 1 - 4 PHI | PHI | MTL |
| 2025-11-04 | MTL 4 - 5 PHI | PHI | MTL |
| 2025-04-05 | MTL 3 - 2 PHI | MTL | PHI |
| 2025-03-27 | PHI 6 - 4 MTL | PHI | PHI |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 70.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 5.6
Score Breakdown
Philadelphia Flyers 3 - 4 Montreal Canadiens
Expected: 3.3 - 2.3
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