Toronto Maple Leafs at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2024-10-28 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 4 - 6 Toronto Maple Leafs

🚨 Upset Loss (50% underdog)

Win Probability

WPG: 50.4%

TOR: 49.6%

Expected Goals

WPG: 3.18

TOR: 3.23

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 49%

WPG

Connor Hellebuyck - 23-23-11 | 0.895 SV% | 2.86 GAA

TOR

Joseph Woll - 15-16-7 | 0.898 SV% | 3.34 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • WPG at home vs TOR: 0-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-17	WPG 3 - 4 TOR	TOR	WPG
2026-01-01	TOR 6 - 5 WPG	TOR	TOR
2024-12-23	TOR 2 - 5 WPG	WPG	TOR
2024-10-28	WPG 4 - 6 TOR	TOR	WPG
2024-01-27	WPG 2 - 4 TOR	TOR	WPG

Period	Time	Team	Scorer
1	11:56	TOR	Goal
1	17:47	TOR	Goal
2	00:56	TOR	Goal
2	03:25	TOR	Goal
2	06:19	TOR	Goal
2	11:25	TOR	Goal
2	17:53	TOR	Goal
3	07:36	TOR	Goal
3	16:13	TOR	Goal
3	19:35	TOR	Goal

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 50.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 10.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Winnipeg Jets 4 - 6 Toronto Maple Leafs

Expected: 3.2 - 3.2